Titanium Shortage Threatens Industry Titan

A titan of the aerospace industry announced it would no longer purchase titanium from Russia, a key supplier. With a global shortage of the lightweight "wonder metal" already in play, aerospace-grade titanium has become particularly scarce.

Bitcoin's next 'halving' is right around the corner. Here's what you need to know

WYATTE GRANTHAM-PHILIPS
April 19, 2024

NEW YORK (AP) -- Sometime in the next few days or even hours, the "miners" who chisel bitcoins out of complex mathematics are going to take a 50% pay cut -- effectively slicing new production of the world's largest cryptocurrency in half.

That could have a lot of implications, from the price of the asset to the bitcoin miners themselves. And, as with everything in the volatile cryptoverse, the future is hard to predict.

Here's what you need to know.

WHAT IS BITCOIN HALVING AND WHY DOES IT MATTER?

Bitcoin "halving," a preprogrammed event that occurs roughly every four years, impacts the production of bitcoin. Miners use farms of noisy, specialized computers to solve convoluted math puzzles; and when they complete one, they get a fixed number of bitcoins as a reward.

Halving does exactly what it sounds like -- it cuts that fixed income in half. And when the mining reward falls, so does the number of new bitcoins entering the market. That means the supply of coins available to satisfy demand grows more slowly.

Limited supply is one of bitcoin's key features. Only 21 million bitcoins will ever exist, and more than 19.5 million of them have already been mined, leaving fewer than 1.5 million left to pull from.

So long as demand remains the same or climbs faster than supply, bitcoin prices should rise as halving limits output. Because of this, some argue that bitcoin can counteract inflation -- still, experts stress that future gains are never guaranteed.

HOW OFTEN DOES HALVING OCCUR?

Per bitcoin's code, halving occurs after the creation of every 210,000 "blocks" -- where transactions are recorded -- during the mining process.

No calendar dates are set in stone, but that divvies out to roughly once every four years. The latest estimates expect the next halving to occur sometime late Friday or early Saturday.

WILL HALVING IMPACT BITCOIN'S PRICE?

Only time will tell. Following each of the three previous halvings, the price of bitcoin was mixed in the first few months and wound up significantly higher one year later. But as investors well know, past performance is not an indicator of future results.

"I don't know how significant we can say halving is just yet," said Adam Morgan McCarthy, a research analyst at Kaiko. "The sample size of three (previous halvings) isn't big enough to say 'It's going to go up 500% again,' or something."

At the time of the last halving in May 2020, for example, bitcoin's price stood at around $8,602, according to CoinMarketCap -- and climbed almost seven-fold to nearly $56,705 by May 2021. Bitcoin prices nearly quadrupled a year after July 2016's halving and shot up by almost 80 times one year out from bitcoin's first halving in November 2012. Experts like McCarthy stress that other bullish market conditions contributed to those returns.

This next halving also arrives after a year of steep increases for bitcoin. As of Thursday afternoon, bitcoin stood at just over $63,500 per CoinMarketCap. That's down from the all-time-high of about $73,750 hit last month, but still double the asset's price from a year ago.

Much of the credit for bitcoin's recent rally is given to the early success of a new way to invest in the asset -- spot bitcoin ETFs, which were only approved by U.S. regulators in January. A research report from crypto fund manager Bitwise found that these spot ETFs saw $12.1 billion in inflows during the first quarter.

Bitwise senior crypto research analyst Ryan Rasmussen said persistent or growing ETF demand, when paired with the "supply shock" resulting from the coming halving, could help propel bitcoin's price further.

"We would expect the price of Bitcoin to have a strong performance over the next 12 months," he said. Rasmussen notes that he's seen some predict gains reaching as high as $400,000, but the more "consensus estimate" is closer to the $100,000-$175,000 range.

Other experts stress caution, pointing to the possibility the gains have already been realized.

In a Wednesday research note, JPMorgan analysts maintained that they don't expect to see post-halving price increases because the event "has already been already priced in" -- noting that the market is still in overbought conditions per their analysis of bitcoin futures.

WHAT ABOUT MINERS?

Miners, meanwhile, will be challenged with compensating for the reduction in rewards while also keeping operating costs down.

"Even if there's a slight increase in bitcoin price, (halving) can really impact a miner's ability to pay bills," Andrew W. Balthazor, a Miami-based attorney who specializes in digital assets at Holland & Knight, said. "You can't assume that bitcoin is just going to go to the moon. As your business model, you have to plan for extreme volatility."

Better-prepared miners have likely laid the groundwork ahead of time, perhaps by increasing energy efficiency or raising new capital. But cracks may arise for less-efficient, struggling firms.

One likely outcome: Consolidation. That's become increasingly common in the bitcoin mining industry, particularly following a major crypto crash in 2022.

In its recent research report, Bitwise found that total miner revenue slumped one month after each of the three previous halvings. But those figures had rebounded significantly after a full year -- thanks to spikes in the price of bitcoin as well as larger miners expanding their operations.

Time will tell how mining companies fare following this next looming halving. But Rasmussen is betting that big players will continue to expand and utilize the industry's technology advances to make operations more efficient.

WHAT ABOUT THE ENVIRONMENT?

Pinpointing definitive data on the environmental impacts directly tied to bitcoin halving is still a bit of a question mark. But it's no secret that crypto mining consumes a lot of energy -- and operations relying on pollutive sources have drawn particular concern over the years.

Recent research published by the United Nations University and Earth's Future journal found that the carbon footprint of 2020-2021 bitcoin mining across 76 nations was equivalent to emissions of burning 84 billion pounds of coal or running 190 natural gas-fired power plants. Coal satisfied the bulk of bitcoin's electricity demands (45%), followed by natural gas (21%) and hydropower (16%).

Environmental impacts of bitcoin mining boil largely down to the energy source used. Industry analysts have maintained that pushes towards the use of more clean energy have increased in recent years, coinciding with rising calls for climate protections from regulators around the world.

Still, production pressures could result in miners turning to cheaper, less climate-friendly energy sources. And when looking towards the looming halving, JPMorgan cautioned that some bitcoin mining firms may also "look to diversify into low energy cost regions" to deploy inefficient mining rigs.

Continue Reading...

Popular

Central Banks Buying Gold in Record Numbers - Ad

Most folks have completely missed the fact that the world's Central Banks have been quietly gobbling up as much gold as they can... Stacking it in their locked vaults on pallets in record numbers. Find out why right here (and see what you can do to get in too with just a few dollars).

Top 3 Tech Stocks That May Explode This Month

The most oversold stocks in the information technology sector presents an opportunity to buy into undervalued companies.

Nvidia CEO Says It Will Spark "the Next Revolution" Beyond AI - Ad

Declares this radical biotechnology "is going to be flat out one of the biggest [tech revolutions] ever." And this $10 stock is at the center of all.

Olympic track uniforms spark online debate about who designed them and why they're so skimpy

PARIS (AP) — U.S. track and field athletes have around four dozen pieces to choose from when assembling their uniforms at the Olympics. The one grabbing the most attention is a high-cut leotard that barely covers the bikini line and has triggered debate between those who think it is sexist and others who argue they don't need the internet to make sure they have good uniforms.

Trump vs. Biden: Nationwide Poll Shows Key Issue Decidedly Tilts Equation In Favor Of One Candidate

Even though the economy has been relatively stable despite challenges, voters remain unconvinced about the Biden administration's performance.

Mystery of the Rich and Connected Revealed - Ad

Former Goldman VP reveals a mysterious "Gold Bank" with huge upside potential... Last time we shared this, some folks could have seen a 995% gain. Don't be surprised if you've never heard of this -- most haven't. But he's sharing all in this new video.

How Much Will Taylor Swift's Net Worth Grow With 'The Tortured Poets Department'?

How much will Taylor Swift's 'The Tortured Poets Department' boost her net worth? Get expert insights here

Buy Alert: Invest in This Coin Before... [Details Inside] - Ad

Today, Ian issued a new "buy alert. He's calling this one "the greatest investment in history," and adds: "All my data is clear. It will be 20X bigger than bitcoin. "But you'll want to invest before the upgrade date.

Elizabeth Warren Says Trump Had Only 2 Accomplishments As President: 'Huge Difference Between' Biden, Trump

Elizabeth Warren thinks Donald Trump only accomplished two things when he was president and neither is highlighted as a positive by the senator.

Atlantic City mayor: I'm committed to my family and city while dealing with daughter abuse charges

ATLANTIC CITY, N.J. (AP) — Atlantic City Mayor Marty Small said Thursday he remains committed to his family and to his city as he deals with charges that he and his wife

READ THIS If You Missed Out on the AI Boom - Ad

Radical new biotechnology predicted to grow 320,000% in 3 years. Nvidia's CEO calls it "the next amazing revolution." And one small company poised to dominate this revolution trades for just $10.

Kentucky governor announces lottery to award initial round of medical cannabis business licenses

FRANKFORT, Ky. (AP) — Kentucky will use a lottery system to award an initial round of licenses to businesses competing to participate in the state's startup medical cannabis program, Gov. Andy Beshear announced Thursday.

The Man Who Bought Bitcoin at $5 Reveals His Next Tiny Crypto Gem for 2024 - Ad

Early Bitcoin Millionaire Charlie Shrem just revealed his five little-known crypto coins that he believes could create generational wealth over the next 12 months. What's more, some of these tiny cryptos he's discovered trade for less than $1!

Nvidia Robotics Expert Praises Tesla FSD's 'Human-Like Maneuvers' As Magical

Tesla's latest FSD feature has impressed users like Nvidia employee Yuke Zhu who called it 'magical'. Tesla has made FSD more accessible with price cuts and free trials.

Breaking News: Elon Musk Invents New Type of A.I. - Ad

According to 30-year Silicon Valley and Wall Street veteran, Eric Fry... A man who picked 41 plays that jumped 1,000%+... Elon Musk is about to shock the world again with this new type of A.I.... Mining new millionaires in the process.

Retail sales up a strong 0.7% in March from February, underscoring the resiliency of the US consumer

NEW YORK (AP) — Americans increased their spending pace in March at a better-than-expected pace the previous month, , underscoring how shoppers remain resilient despite inflationary pressures and other economic challenges.

The world's largest 3D printer is at a university in Maine. It just unveiled an even bigger one

ORONO, Maine (AP) — The world’s largest 3D printer has created a house that can cut construction time and labor. An even larger printer unveiled on Tuesday may one day create entire neighborhoods.

New Video: What A.I. Means for Cancer (And Other Diseases) - Ad

I urge you to check it out before we take the video down. You'll discover how AI discovered a new treatment in only 30 days, why Big Pharma signed over $3 billion in deals with one AI-biotech, and why Bill Gates and billionaire Steve Cohen own over 10% of this company.

Nvidia Set For Another Bull Run? Analyst Pitches $1,150 Target, Says 'This Time It's Bringing More Friends Along For The Run'

Despite a recent dip, chart analyst Todd Gordon of Inside Edge Capital has identified Nvidia Corporation as a strong buy, setting an ambitious target price of $1,150, citing the company's potential for an upward trend alongside a broader rally in the semiconductor industry.

Apple CEO says that he wants to increase investments in Vietnam

HANOI, Vietnam (AP) — Apple CEO Tim Cook said Tuesday that he wants to further increase investment in Vietnam a day after the company announced it would spending on suppliers in the Southeast Asian manufacturing hub.

The No. 1 Crypto for 2024 - Ad

It's expected to soar 20X bigger than Bitcoin.

Why Media Company Omnicom Shares Are Trading Higher Premarket Today

Omnicom Group reported 5.4% revenue growth, with organic growth of 4.0%. Adjusted EPS beat expectations.

Forget AI, Imperium Is Expected to Grow 320,000% In 3 Years - Ad

Three of the world's biggest AI companies -- Google, Nvidia and Intel -- have even partnered with my No. 1 Imperium company to get on this massive mega trend. The average investor hasn't caught on yet, but you can still invest in my No. 1 Imperium company for just $10 a share.

Alibaba Rival Temu Joins Tech Giants List Under EU Scrutiny, Crosses User Threshold for Enhanced Regulation

Temu, rival of Alibaba Group, will face strict EU regulations for online content as its monthly users in Europe surpass 45 million threshold.

Walmart CEO Doug McMillon Earns 976 Times More Than Median Employee Last Fiscal Year

Walmart Inc CEO Doug McMillon was paid 976 times a median associate in the world's largest retail company over the last fiscal year.

Small A.I. Firm Wins $2 Billion in Contracts for Breakthrough "Living Software" - Ad

Denver firm proves its possible to use AI to save the lives of soldiers in combat. England, Germany, Japan and Australia have all signed contracts within the past 18 months.

TotalEnergies Trades Mature Assets for Growth In Low-Emission Congolese Oil Field

TotalEnergies SE has signed a deal with Trident Energy for purchase and sale transactions in Congo, increasing its stake in the Moho license and selling its interests in the Nkossa and Nsoko II licenses.

Despite Microsoft, Google's 'Spectacular Quarters,' Billionaire 'Bond King' Bill Gross Warns Against Tech, Advocates For Value Stocks

Bill Gross, known as the "bond king," advises investors to avoid tech stocks despite strong quarters from Microsoft and Alphabet, recommending value stocks instead, while questioning the appeal of bonds with current yields.

NOT Bitcoin or Options... But Already Making Folks Rich in 2024 - Ad

Former Goldman Sachs Trader Dr. David Eifrig just stepped forward with a way to protect your money this November -- no matter who wins the presidential seat. In fact, election chaos will likely make this even better. It's a "secret" of the rich and connected that 99% of folks don't know about...

Time to Sell NVDA? 50-Yr Wall Street Legend Weighs In - Ad

If you currently own NVIDIA (NVDA)... Or were thinking of buying it in the weeks ahead... I urge you to review my recent interview before you move your money. There's a BETTER AI stock to buy than NVDA right now, especially in the coming $7 trillion A.I. boom.

5 cars from the Beijing auto show that reflect China's vision for the future of driving

BEIJING (AP) — China's vision of the future of the automobile — electrified and digitally connected — is on display at the ongoing .

Trending Now

Information, charts or examples are for illustration and educational purposes only and not for individualized investment management This message contains commercial elements, such as advertising. We only send these offers to those who have opted in to our newsletter. Past performance is not indicative of future results. For these reasons we strongly suggest trading in a DEMO/Simulated account. The information provided by us is for educational and informational purposes only. We make no representations or warranties concerning the products, practices or procedures of any company or entity mentioned or recommended and have not determined if the statements and opinions of the advertiser are accurate, correct or truthful. If you use, act upon or make decisions in reliance on information contained or any external source linked within it, you do so at your own peril and agree to hold us, our officers, directors, shareholders, affiliates and agents without fault.

Copyright activatrade.ca
Privacy Policy | Terms of Service