Trump Vs Harris: This Candidate Has The Edge In Latest Swing State Polls

Bibhu Pattnaik

September 21, 2024

With just over six weeks left until the presidential election, recent polling data reveals a neck-and-neck contest between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. The data includes over 20 swing-state polls conducted after the September 10 debate.

What Happened: The polls suggest a slight advantage for Harris over Trump. A Morning Consult poll shows Harris leading by 6 percentage points nationwide, her largest lead in the organization’s surveys to date.

Nationwide ABC News/Ipsos and Yahoo News/YouGov polls also favor Harris, placing her ahead by 4 and 5 points respectively.

According to a compilation of recent polls by The Hill, in some swing states, Harris also appears to be gaining ground. A Quinnipiac University poll has her leading by 5 points in Pennsylvania, while a Marist College poll of likely voters shows the same margin in Michigan.

However, the race is far from decided. The Hill and Decision Desk HQ (DDHQ) predict Harris has a 55 percent chance of winning in November.

Also Read: Trump Vs Harris: New Poll Reveals Post-Debate Swing Towards This Candidate In Key State

Trump supporters, meanwhile, can take heart from several swing-state polls, including a series from The Hill and Emerson College, which show Trump leading by 1 point in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, and by 3 points in Georgia.

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Why It Matters: The tight race underscores the importance of swing states in determining the outcome of the presidential election.

Despite Harris’ slight lead in some areas, the 2024 race remains essentially a coin flip.

The outcomes of upcoming debates and campaign strategies will be crucial in swaying undecided voters and solidifying support among their bases.

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